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This page contains a single entry by David R. Remer published on October 21, 2008 8:59 PM.

Can Obama Actually Become President? was the previous entry in this blog.

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Opportunity Cost: Tax Payer's Enemy

Most American tax payers could not give a definition of the term "opportunity cost". Just as most Americans could not tell you what al-Queda was, prior to 9/11, 2001. Not knowing however, did not stop al-Queda from attacking America, and not knowing what opportunity cost is, will not stop those oppressive and suffocating costs from forcing future tax increases on income earners in America and pushing the nation toward bankruptcy.

There is a simple economic truth that is lost in the political battle for your vote. That truth is this: During positive economic growth, taxes should generally be raised, and during economic downturns, taxes should generally be cut, if balance is to be maintained for the government and taxpayers across generations. Politicians routinely lie to their constituents on this matter however, telling voters what they want to hear, instead of the truth about the economics of taxes.

For example, Republicans continue to make the blanket statement that cutting taxes creates more revenues. It sounds too good to be common-sensically true. That's because it is. In the 2002 and 2004 elections Republicans could routinely be heard touting the lie that cutting taxes would increase government revenues. The Congressional Budget Office, the Federal Reserve, the former Comptroller of of the U.S., David Walker, economists now have the numbers. Tax cuts, while stimulating expansion of businesses and jobs where consumer demand is healthy, do create an increase in revenues from the new business expansion and growth. However, this increase in revenue to the federal government does not equal the total of revenues lost by the tax cuts. Only a percentage of the lost revenue from the tax cuts is recovered through new revenues from business expansion.

Conversely, Democrats will tell voters that increasing spending which puts more Americans to work through retraining, education spending, and extension of unemployment benefits, will stimulate the economy by increasing wage earning consumers and the amount of money they spend, and thereby increase tax revenues down the road. Like the Republican lie however, the cost of deficit spending to increase employment, does not necessarily equal the new tax revenue growth created by those newly employed. The national debt increases, and the amount spent on the interest payments on that debt grows as well; more than the tax revenue increase from expanding the work force. The work force will expand and contract, the interest on debt gets paid, regardless.

Debt limits one's options. There simply is no truer statement than this often heard from Libertarians. There is a loss of freedom of choice when one is carrying debt. Each month, a debtor has to pay a certain percentage of their income to pay back a portion of the principal on their debt, and in addition, interest payments associated with that borrowing. The percentage of one's income spent on debt, is money one cannot spend on other needs and wants going forward. This is the definition of opportunity cost by example. One's opportunities to choose what to buy and for how much in the future are reduced by the previous choice to borrow and repay a debt.

The tax payers in America have chosen to re-elect politicians who have nearly doubled our national debt in just 8 years. The politicians they re-elected doubled the national debt in order to spend money on current voters and national 'needs', borrowed from future wage earner's page checks, in order to get the votes of voters in current elections. Pay very close to attention to that last sentence, because it is crucially and fundamentally true. Deficit spending and debt results in future wage earner's higher taxes taken from their paychecks.

The American economy and the value of its IOU's, called U.S. dollars, rests on a concept known as the full faith and credit of the American government to pay its debts. If the American government were to ever default on making its interest and principal payments on its debts, the government would be subject to remedies petitioned by its foreign creditors. Needless to say, such an event would result in the collapse of our economy, inflation and unemployment would skyrocket, and rapidly growing percentages of Americans would be thrown out of their homes and jobs. To put it simply, the government cannot afford to NOT raise taxes on future workers. If the government doesn't raise taxes on future workers, it will not be able to pay its debts and everything economic comes crashing down.

The big problem is, no one knows how much we can tax future workers before we compromise the full faith and credit of the United States. Because no one knows where that limit is, (which would require seeing into the future of events and challenges facing future tax payers), prudence and caution are mandatory to insure we do not cross that line into the bankrupting of America in our near, or even distant, future.

The government cannot afford to continue increasing its national debt, or it will have to raise taxes so high on future workers that those workers will revolt. They will revolt against working for less and less net pay to the point that workers are forced into choosing to buy food instead of paying their tax debts. Many of these workers will seek employment in the underground economy (drugs, prostitution, crime, and tax evasion) where income is not reported, and therefore not taxed. (This underground economy already exists).

Others owning businesses will find themselves unable, due to increasing taxes, to pay as many employees and begin to lay off workers to reduce their costs, which in turn will reduce the number of customers they can serve. Still other future workers will protest their government's taxes and demand the government lower taxes, which would cause the government to default on its debts and the entire economy crashes as a result.

One often hears the argument that our government has survived very high debt in the past as at the end of World War II and the Great Depression, and we prospered afterward. That was true, then. It will not be true now or in the foreseeable future. The difference is that after WWII, America had an enormous amount of economic growth ahead of it in a rapidly growing work force and consumer base (baby boom), and vast untapped export markets to develop. Our economy then could tap into bringing women permanently into the new work force in the 1950's, 60's, 70's and beyond. Most of the nation's in the world then, were not as innovative nor as productive as ours, making a bright future of American exports possible. That is not the case today.

Today, many of America's natural resources, used in the past to manufacture goods and export them, are no longer abundant or cheap. And an untapped work force of new and educated and innovative consumers, is in ever shorter supply, unlike the period after World War II. Many thought we could deal with the worker shortage by turning a blind eye to illegal immigration. But, illegal immigration has proven to cost more to our economy and government spending than it brings in the form of taxes paid to the federal government.

Our growing dependence upon foreign imports of oil, food, and manufactured goods at the rate of 3/4 of a trillion dollars per year more than we export, literally means a loss of 3/4 trillion dollars per year to foreign economies. (This trade deficit has been growing for 30 years straight.) The opportunity to use that money going overseas, to create jobs here, to make and sell American products for American consumers, is lost. It is an opportunity cost that is costing American's jobs, wage increases, and increasingly, causing more and more Americans to file bankruptcy and forfeit their homes, and middle class status.

The opportunities to choose options in our future, 2, 5, 10, and 30 years from now, which are in our best interest instead of the interest of our foreign creditors, are growing ever more limited. And as our future choices become more limited, their cost those chioices continue to rise. Voters and their reelected politicians have chosen to add 2 trillion more dollars to our national debt in the hopes of stemming an economic meltdown today.

While no one wants an economic meltdown today, the addition of 2 more trillion dollars to our national debt in addition to the 4.5 trillion already added since 2001, is seriously compromising our choices going forward. Voters can no longer afford to tolerate politicians who insist on voting for legislation and spending and tax cuts without prioritizing current benefit and future cost. We have arrived at the time when we must stop acting like the wealthiest nation in the world, and start acting like the most indebted nation in the world, which in reality, we have become.

When the consumers are strong and buying and business is having trouble keeping up with demand and borrowing money to expand production is difficult, targeted (as opposed to blanket) tax cuts toward business and investors in businesses, can make sense. Such tax cuts will stimulate further economic development and jobs. But, there is a future price to be paid for such tax cuts when the government is carrying debt.

On the other hand, when the economy is slowing like now, due to consumers struggling to find the money to keep purchasing, businesses cut jobs due to lack of demand, not lack of money to expand their business. In such times as these, targeted tax cuts (as opposed to universal tax cuts) aimed at consumers can make sense when the economy is threatened by falling consumption. But, again, such tax cuts are not without a cost down the road when national debt is high and growing.

Debt in previous generations was considered more a last resort than a first choice. Our government over these past many years, has increasingly abandoned this traditional view of debt, Republicans and Democrats alike. Our debt now threatens our ability to respond to future crises, our ability to elect less expensive options, our ability to choose at all in some cases. Reducing spending by the federal government means redefining what our goals are, and how we will act in the future. Reducing spending will reduce our deficits.

But, reducing spending to the point of eliminating our deficits and lowering our national debt, will make poverty in our society grow dramatically, and sow the seeds of voter and citizen discontent. The solution to our debt problem must be a combination of redefining who we can afford to be, cutting spending and raising some taxes in a fashion that yields the greatest benefit for the most Americans present and future. That is no easy task. But, that task, if undertaken, can only be undertaken by the voters. Our current lot of politicians have no stomach for it.

If one loves this nation, one will insist that she be managed with the goal of insuring her future, not increasing her future risk. If one loves one's children, and seeks a future for them equal or better than the quality of life the parent has enjoyed, reelecting politicians responsible for this selling out of America's future for next year's reelection, must be halted. If one wishes to meet their end with the knowledge that they lived responsibly and with the best of intentions for those to follow them, one has an obligation to exercise the power of their vote for its intended purpose, to remove politicians who would sacrifice our future for their political career.

Voting out incumbents, voting for challengers, in a time of national crisis caused in no small part by politicians, is the only responsible vote. When enough American voters choose to vote responsibly in this manner, most of the challengers they elect will observe the lesson of the politicians they replace, and seek to govern for the nation's future, as well as their own, as the appropriate way to earn their reelection. The opportunity cost of reelecting today's Congress, has simply become too high.

The one certain truth about debt is this. Pay now, avoid debt, and one gets the best price. There is nothing one can buy through debt, that won't end up costing very much more on credit, if and when it is payed off. And the only reason debts are not payed off, is bankruptcy. Weighing the cost of debt against human suffering and privation, and making careful targeted decisions to optimize our future, should be the single greatest priority of every politician in office. Since, it isn't, it is up to the voters to make their removal from office their top priority. We simply will not achieve responsible government by reelecting irresponsible politicians.

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The one certain truth about debt is this. Pay now, avoid debt, and one gets the best price. There is nothing one can buy through debt, that won't end up costing very much more on credit, if and when it is payed off. And the only reason debts are not payed off, is bankruptcy.
That's why the bail-outs were a bad idea.

The bail-outs are only going to grow the massive debt-pyramid larger, and risk the collapse of the currency sooner than later.
These bail-outs are mostly taking care of the wealthy who influence and control a government that is FOR-SALE (www.propublica.org/special/government-bailouts/).
See how many bail-outs we've had since 1932.
This many and such large bail-outs is unprecedented (more in number and size in year 2008 than all years before since 1932):

  • 1932 — The Hoover administration creates the Reconstruction Finance Corp. to facilitate economic activity by lending money.

  • 1933 — The Roosevelt administration creates the Home Owners' Loan Corp. to buy $3 billion in bad mortgages from banks and refinance them to homeowners to stem a rise in foreclosures. The government makes a small profit.

  • 1971 — Congress saves Lockheed Aircraft Corp., the nation's biggest defense contractor, from bankruptcy by guaranteeing the repayment of $250 million in bank loans.

  • 1979 — Congress and the Carter administration arrange for $1.2 billion in subsidized loans to bail out automaker Chrysler Corp., then the nation's 10th-largest company. There was no significant cost to the government in the end since the loans were repaid.

  • 1984 — Congress effectively takes over the ailing Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust, which failed with $40 billion of assets. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. injects $4.5 billion to buy bad loans.

  • 1989 — Congress establishes the Resolution Trust Corp. to take over bad assets and make depositors whole. Resolving the Savings and Loan crisis takes 6 years and $125 billion in taxpayer money — roughly equal to $221 billion in 2008 dollars (or $363 Billion using pre-1983 inflation measurement methods; it depends on which inflation measurement method is used; yet another measurement method that has been perverted to obfuscate and hide inflation and rampant money-printing).

  • 1998 — The government brokers a $3.6 billion private bailout in the collapse of the Long-Term Capital Management hedge fund, although no government money is involved.

  • 2001 — Congress gives $5 billion in cash to help shore up the airline industry and follows up with $10 billion in loan guarantees.

  • 2008: MAR-16 — The Federal Reserve agrees to guarantee $29 billion of Bear Stearns' assets in connection with the government-sponsored sale of the investment bank to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

  • 2008: JUL-11 — Federal regulators seize IndyMac Bank's assets after the mortgage lender succumbs to the pressures of tighter credit, falling home prices and rising foreclosures. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. says it will cost about $8.9 billion out of its $53 billion insurance fund.

  • 2008: SEP-07 — The Treasury Department seizes teetering mortgage finance institutions Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, temporarily putting them in a government conservatorship with plans to inject up to $100 billion into each.

  • 2008: SEP-16 — The government announces an $85 billion emergency loan to rescue American International Group Inc., a major insurance company, in return for a 79.9 percent stake.

  • 2008: SEP-19 — The Bush administration proposes a plan to let the government buy $700 billion of bad mortgages and other forms of toxic debt that have been weighing down U.S. financial companies. Government officials and lawmakers were still scrambling to put a deal together a week later.

  • 2008: SEP-25 — The Federal Desposit Insurance Corp. seizes Washington Mutual Inc. — the largest bank to fail by far in the U.S. — and sells the deposits and banking assets to JPMorgan Chase & Co. for $1.9 billion.

  • 2008: SEP-31 - Congress approved more than $630 billion spending bill, which included a measure for $25 billion in loans to the auto industry. These low-interest loans are intended to aid the industry in its push to build more fuel-efficient, environmentally-friendly vehicles. The Detroit 3 -- General Motors, Ford and Chrysler -- will be the primary beneficiaries.
  • That's only up to 25-SEP-2008 . . . there are many more to come.

  • John McCain suggested $300 billion for buying up mortgages and renegotiating their price to stabilize housing values.

  • Pelosi, Barney Frank, and other Democrats want $150 billion for unemployment benefits, food stamps, and other projects.

  • Roy Blunt (House Republican) said he is in favor of a Main Street Bailout that "makes sense", but drew a line at "huge public works projects" and state bailouts.

  • Ah-nuld Schwarzenegger is begging the U.S. Treasury for $7 billion for the worsening economic crisis in the state of California.

  • 2008: OCT-03 - Bail-out BILL H.R. 1424 has a heaping side of pork-barrel: www.nydailynews.com/money/2008/10/03/2008-10-03_bailout_dish_has_heaping_side_of_pork.html

  • 2008: OCT-08 - Only one day after it was revealed that AIG had sprung for a $440,000 spa vacation shortly after getting an $84 billion government-loan bailout comes this report: The government is loaning AIG another $38 billion.

  • 2008: OCT-15 - Bail-outs price tag triples from $750 Billion to $3 Trillion: bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/10/bailout-price-t.html

  • There are so many bail-outs, some were probably missed.

    But look at the number of bail-outs today compared to the number before year 2001.
    The numbers are growing, as the debt pyramid grows ever larger.

    These banks and insurance companies were only a few hundred of over 8000+ banks.
    We should have let those banks fail, and the FDIC only cover the accounts to the insured amounts.
    Now they have made the problem much worse.
    And it will probalby get much worse yet, with many more bail-outs, and more inflation because of it.

    At any rate, the voters have the government that the voters elect (and re-elect, and re-elect, and re-elect , . . . , at least until that finally becomes too painful).

    David, a couple of excerpts from your post:

    “(This trade deficit has been growing for 30 years straight.)

    Our debt now threatens our ability to respond to future crises, our ability to elect less expensive options, our ability to choose at all in some cases.

    If one loves this nation, one will insist that she be managed with the goal of insuring her future, not increasing her future risk.”

    This crap has been steadily ramping up beginning with the Regan administration. We didn’t accrue $66T of debt based on any one party system or a fillibuster proof legislature. We got there through pure complicity of these career politicians urged on by the likes of Phil Gramm, Dodd, Frank and DeLay. Regan and his buddy Friedman axed the anti-trust law and the career politicians have supported deregulation and merging of conglomerates to the point where the country has been brought to it’s knees. You would have to be living on another planet not to realize those facts. And, to think that the people continue to re-elect this bunch or portend loyalty to the duopoly, it’s way beyond me. I’m pretty much paralyzed by the thought of anyone working to support the duopoly. They have defiled out constitution, our sovereignty and democratic principles. I see new 3rd parties with a different attitude (they work for us) and serving as a fourth branch of government by providing oversight for elected officials. By VOIDing all non-performing incumbents and supporting new 3rd parties can we hope to regain control of government and carry out reforms that place the Constitution and our sovereign nation at the helm of the ship of state. I will vote for Nader and I would hope third parties garner a larger than usual percentage of the vote. That will demonstrate the potential for new parties in 2012.

    For political FACTS check out www.one-simple-idea.com. Realize your power to remove career incumbents from office by visiting www.voidnow.com. Check out a REAL reform agenda and new 3rd party proposal at www.demreps.com.