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The economy is nosediving and we need to do something, not to restore the credit markets (what does that mean?) nor to increase confidence (which is elusive), but to help the citizens of the U.S. who are and will be in financial trouble. We need a bailout alright but not a bailout of fat cats who will get along nicely regardelss of what we do, but a bailout of workers and homeowners.
Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson, who comes from Wall Street, naturally thinks in terms of the economic system, that is, he knows the credit system as it flows from financial institutions, mortgage brokers, banks and others financial operators to the final consumer. He thinks the system broke down and that an infusion of $700 billion would supply the credit to correct it.
Not being an economist I have no idea whether the system itself broke down. All I know is that financial institutions made bad loans and they encouraged consumers to make bad mistakes. I don't think that dumping more money into financial institutions so that they can make more loans will fix things. Maybe it may put a few of them on firmer footing. But what will happen to consumers that lose their homes and their jobs?
There's been a lot of discussion as to whether we are in recession or not. The trouble here, again, is that we are thinking in terms of the system. When you lose your home or your job what do you care what the economy is called? As far as you are concerned we are in the midst of a depression. Those who still have jobs may call it a recession, but the unemployed think they are in a depression.
Having grown up during the Great Depression I can tell you how terrible things may get. Sure, many rich people killed themselves. But the bulk of the burden was carried by ordinary workers who were thrown out of jobs and could not find another.
Don't kid yourself. Unemployment will increase much further whether we shore up the credit system or not.
Instead of worrying about credit we should worry about workers. Instead of boosting the credit supply, we need to supply jobs. Instead of depending on the availability of loans to enhance business so that jobs may trickle down, we should provide jobs directly to workers and allow prosperty to trickle up.
How do we do this? Pretty simple. Sink the $700 billion not in the credit markets, but in the development of jobs. Also small businesses who were hurt as much as workers. We may help workers by improving our infrastructure which is in need of rebuilding. We may help small businesses by encouraging the development of alternative sources of energy, something we must do to prevent the addition of climate catastrophe to our woes.
Let's not bailout the fatcats. Let's bail out the small businessman and the worker.



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7:08 PM, 10 02 2008 | Permalink
A credit market freeze, Paul, which is now occurring, will hurt workers and homeowners the most, as unemployment will rise dramatically if money cannot flow through out our economy. This is an Economic Stabilization Bill which passed the Senate and it is NOT a misnomer. It will help stabilize the current downward spiral of credit freeze.
It buys America and her economy some time. I don't think you realize that the foreign markets are absolutely hanging on to whether we pass this or not. If it doesn't pass, their recessions will deepen and that means LOST JOBS for Americans who work in the industries which export products and services, one of the few sectors of our economy still rather healthy. This bill fails, that sector weakens. And America's economy cannot afford to have another economic fundamental erode from under it.
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1:08 AM, 10 03 2008 | Permalink
Paul, I agree 100%.
A series of bail-outs will probably crash the U.S. Dollar, which has already plummeted a long way for several years, which will make a bad situation worse.
Sure, credit is getting scarce.
That's unfortunate, but more debt is not the solution.
Americans need to learn to get along with less borrowing.
The belief that the U.S. Dollar can't crash is why it will probably happen.
It will probably happen because the government is addicted to debt, and it can't stop growing the massive debt, borrowing, money-printing, spending, pork-barrel and waste.
Before the U.S. Dollar crashes, it will then be time (if not already) to buy gold, land, foreign currencies, and anything that will retain some value, since the U.S. Dollar will become completely worthless due to rampant bail-outs, borrowing, money-printing, spending, pork-barrel, and waste. It will be like what happened in Argentina, in which within a few months, you could only buy a newspaper for the number of pesos that previously would have bought a villa (i.e. a house).
That's not empty doom-and-gloom.
That's a mathematical certainty.
Keep up these bail-outs, borrowing, growing the debt, spending, money-printing, pork-barrel, and waste, and the U.S. Dollar will crash.
For anyone who doesn't believe it, then simply answer this one simple question:
Is it mere fear-mongering and dooms-dayish to ask that question?
The interest alone on the nation-wide debt of $53.87 Trillion to $66.67 Trillion (at only 4.0% interest) is:
Just think of what hyperinflation could mean, when oil is mostly traded using U.S. Dollars today?
If we crash the U.S. Currency with hyperinflation, the current pain and misery can be magnified many times over.
Why create more money out of thin air when we can NOT even pay the interest alone on the nation-wide debt?
The path we are on is not sustainable.
That's a fact.
So why grow the problem bigger with more debt, borrowing, money-printing, spending, pork-barrel, and waste?
Here are just a few of many reasons why this bail-out BILL H.R. 1424 is bad for America:
And if this bail-out BILL H.R. 1424 passes, it will get more painful a few months from now, because the debt problem will simply be bigger than it is now.
And if another bail-out BILL passes, the debt problem will simply be bigger than it was, and so on, and so on, and so on.
Sort of like a rate in a cage with a cocaine dispenser.
It can't stop because it is addicted like Americans are addicted to credit, borrowing, money-printing, spending, pork-barrel, and waste.
At any rate, the voters have the government that they elect, and re-elect, and re-elect, and re-elect, until that finally becomes too painful.
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