GOP: Crippled by its base.

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The Republican Party is seriously crippled by its donor and social conservative base. Having failed to muster the will to embrace women's and minority issues was bad, and crippled Republicans in the recent election. However, the GOP's other leg is now evidently crippled by its donor base, (e.g. Koch Brothers and Sheldon Adelson). House majority leader Boehner evidenced this today with his statement indicating that allowing taxes to increase on the wealthiest is unacceptable.

Rep. Eric Cantor repeated this theme in a debate with Steny Hoyer on the House floor today, when Cantor insisted that Republicans should hold tax relief from expiring Bush tax cuts for the majority of Americans hostage in negotiating down tax increases on the wealthiest. This kind of policy positioning by Republicans is cementing the branding of the GOP as the minority rich man's party, and not interested in representing the will of the majority of the rest of Americans.

This is a crippling the GOP will not recover from for a very long time. On the one hand, Republicans have grown dependent upon the likes of the Koch Brothers and Adelson for their campaign funding, and to compromise with Democrats on raising taxes on the wealthiest would very likely cost the GOP in contributions from their wealthiest base. Without such funding, they will continue to lose.

On the other hand, if the GOP continues to brand itself as the rich man's party, especially during this next decade of slow growth and higher structural unemployment figures as a result of measures to bring down deficits and debt, that cannot muster sufficient middle class votes to remain a viable majority party going forward.

The conservative pendulum reached its apex during George W. Bush years, and has now definitely begun to swing back toward a more liberal and moderate subscription by the majority of American voters. Republicans will not acknowledge this fact for many years, as they hold on to their confidence in their beliefs that:
1) money can change election outcomes
2) voter suppression will work in their favor eventually
3) the gerrymandered safe Republican districts will underwrite future victories
4) and, trickle down economics will save the middle class if only they can convince the public that the Emperor is wearing new clothes.

These are beliefs akin to the tooth fairy and gnomes in the woods. This recent election proved that the factual world does not comply with Republican beliefs.

Minority money contributions in excess of what Democrats had to work with, did not alter the elections in the GOP's favor.

Voter suppression efforts were repeatedly struck down by the courts, and motivated voters leaning toward Democrats to turn out at the polls in sufficient numbers to defeat Republicans.

The gerrymandered districts will not underwrite future victories. They will only insure a minority seat at the legislative table, and gerrymandering will more likely be in the hands of an increasing number of State Democratic legislatures in 2020, just 7 years from now.

Trickle down, didn't trickle down. The evidence is in, and it is overwhelming. The wealthiest got enormously more wealthy under the Bush administration, and the middle class and poor failed to make any real financial gains during the 2001 to 2009 Bush years. In fact, trickle down removed the one salvation for recessions, the ability of consumers to consume, diminishing the recessionary effect.

Part and parcel of the trickle down theory is deregulation, and deregulation during the Bush years is precisely what caused the banks, mortgage, and hedge fund industries to melt down in late 2008, causing the 'Great Recession'. Deregulation allowed excesses in greedy behavior to permeate throughout these industries in a self-fueling frenzy, until the fundamental value of collateral assets could no longer carry the perceived and speculative value of those assets.

The Republican Party is now in a wheel chair, ranting and raving at the world for its crippled state. It tried to become a big tent party in rhetoric only, but when the rhetoric continued to fail to match the observable realities, the GOP lost enough swing, youth, women's, and ethnic voters, to insure their failure in the elections. Sophistry only works when its predictive conclusions are plausible. When the economy collapsed under the Bush administration, and when the Tea Party obstructed bill after bill to hasten the recovery, the political persuasions of the Republicans failed to match the reality of what was happening.

This is now a common theme for Republicans. Presidential candidate John McCain, refused to acknowledge the signs of an impending economic downturn, until after it was well under way. He lost his election. In the midst of the worst recession since the Great Depression, the Tea Party obstructed every effort from January 2011 to the present, to revive the economy, choosing to support even more austerity measures as the prescription for 10's of millions of suffering middle class Americans. And candidate Mitt Romney campaigned on telling his audience whatever they wanted to hear, and when the audience changed, so did his campaign rhetoric, leaving voters guessing as to just what the hell he did really believe would be good for rescuing America and her people.

When the political rhetoric fails to comply with the observable realities, a college degree is not needed for voters to exercise common sense, and come to the conclusion that those spouting the rhetoric don't know what they are talking about. Common sense doesn't require a college degree. That's why it is common. Republicans must, at some point, reconcile their extremist views and positions with the common sense perceptions of voters, if they wish to halt the political pendulum from swinging Left all over again.

But how does one get extremists to abandon their extremist beliefs? History would indicate one doesn't. Extremists either come to grips with reality all on their own, or, they join the ranks of ever shrinking extremist minorities like the KKK, the Communists, or the perpetual minority of Doomsday crackpots. Those with common sense will not follow such extremists. The actual cost of doing so is just too high, regardless of the size of the falsely promised rewards.

As long as the GOP remains faithful to its extremist base on social and fiscal policies, the Republican Party will continue to diminish its hold on the power to lead this great nation. The GOP has been crippled by its base. The irony is that the GOP leadership currently holds the belief that if they abandon their extremist bases, they will become indistinguishable from the Democrats, and hence, irrelevant as a competing political party. Such a belief, however, defies the common sense political reality that to remain a competing political party, the GOP must embrace the direction of the majority of voters. Without a majority of voter support, their belief becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

American common sense has prevailed through crisis after crisis over the centuries, and there is no evidence to date, that this reality will not remain intact for America's future.

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This page contains a single entry by David R. Remer published on November 30, 2012 4:03 PM.

Dumbest Policy Ideas, Ever. was the previous entry in this blog.

Al-Queda must envy the Tea Party is the next entry in this blog.

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